Wednesday 4 November 2015

Leaks and Populism

Sorry it's taken so long to post this.


What links Edward Snowden, Chelsea Manning and Julian Assange with Jeremy Corbyn and Bernie Sanders. On the face of it, not very much but I think there might actually be a link, however small.

If we could go back to the beginning of the summer and ask people what the likelihood was that a seemingly life long, left wing backbencher would be elected Leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition by a larger margin than Tony Blair they would most likely tell us that we were crazy. That it wasn’t going to happen. But it did.

Similarly if we could go back to last year and tell people that the person coming in second behind Hilary Clinton for the Democratic presidential nomination would be self-described democratic socialist Bernie Sanders – and what’s more that a few weeks ago he was within seven percentage points of her in the crucial state of Iowa - once again we would probably be told that we were engaging in a bit of wish fulfilment. But that’s what’s happening.

This is the world we now live in, where the populist politicians who speak their minds, hold to their own views and aren’t tied to the party line seem to be doing well, seem to be being successful, whereas the career politicians and the party loyalists – at least in Labour’s case – can’t break through.

But the question therefore becomes where this populist support come from has. It seems that those who aren’t talking business as usual are finding support that previously was not there.  So what has happened in the intervening years?

Now I’m not saying that the actions of Snowden, Manning and Assange have contributed to this, but over the last few years the various files that have been leaked by Edward Snowden and by Julian Assange through WikiLeaks have revealed several things about world governments and how they have been acting, which while many of them may have been perfectly legitimate, - depending of course on your point of view – has left many people feeling unhappy with the their current governments and how politicians act and behave.

Therefore it makes at least some sense that come the Labour leadership election and the Democratic primaries – the first real opportunity in the last couple of years to change the direction of major governing parties – that those speaking against “business as usual” would start to come out on top. They are tapping into the dissatisfaction that younger people feel about the state of the world, as shown quite starkly in the leaked documents and reminding them that there is another option available.

Now I am not suggesting that this is the only reason for the sudden success of Jeremy Corbyn and Bernie Sanders, nor am I even suggesting that it is the reason. Rather I believe that the actions of Snowden, Manning and Assange contributed in at least some way to the political earthquakes that we now see going on around us and in America.